Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 76.8%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Desatualizado13/01/24, 04:02 UTC13/01/30, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2029.
- For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
- [image]Same question but for:
Mercados abertos
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POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
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- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 77% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? é resolvido?
- Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? deverá ser resolvido em 13 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.