Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth?
One-OffWeather3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 89.3%
Previsores
27
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado13/01/24, 17:42 UTC13/01/30, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2027, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegras
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
- For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C. This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 2.00 degrees Celsius for any year before 2030 (i.e. 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, or 2029).
Mercados abertos
Weather
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 141,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 129,1 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 72,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 71,8 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 71,6 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 mais resultados
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth? é resolvido?
- Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth? deverá ser resolvido em 13 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in any year before 2030, according to Berkeley Earth? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.