Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 69.4%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado14/12/25, 23:02 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
[Google Trends] Will Pangram be more popular than GPTZero by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
PolymarketWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if the two highest spikes for "Gaza" as a search term exceed 30% of it's September 2025 value in Google trends.
- (Region is worldwide and resolution will be done by looking at a 15 month time span).
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 107,6 mil
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 1,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,5 mil
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]? é resolvido?
- Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the two highest spikes for "Gaza" as a search term exceed 30% of it's September 2025 value in Google trends.