Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.
GeopolíticaOne-OffChinaIA2m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 95.4%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado24/02/26, 09:51 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill expressive negative opinions on people with AI partners be considered hate speech by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketWill Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Nvidia's Blackwell chips be sold in China by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegras
The world’s best designer and the world’s best manufacturer.
- > Resolves YES if either of the following occurs by December 31, 2026:
- > AI Chip Sanctions Lifted: The US officially removes export controls on current-generation, high-performance AI chips (e.g., top-tier data center GPUs) to China.
- Minor exceptions for legacy chips do not count.
- > Co-Developed Frontier LLM: Major US and Chinese entities (state or private sector) formally announce a joint venture or partnership to co-develop a frontier Large Language Model.
- Informal, ad-hoc open-source contributions do not count.