Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
FedInflationCommoditiesIA9mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualModerately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) 45%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
6
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado9/02/26, 17:31 UTC30/06/27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.
- The key tension is that massive capital allocations to AI infrastructure (data centers, chips, energy) could either beinflationary (if capex drives energy/commodity demand up aggressively before productivity gains are realised) or disinflationary (if productivity gains materialize quickly, leading to lower costs and enabling growth without wage pressure).
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year reading as of June 2027 vs. the Fed target inflation rate of 2% and that AI technology is mentioned explicitly in Fed communication as a driver of the deviation from target.
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 127,6 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate43.7%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.7%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,8 mil
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt64.1%
- Fed maintains rate30.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 392,6 mil
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- € 61,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,8 mil
- Fed Decision in December?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027?
- A Manifold Markets cota Moderately higher inflation (2.1%-3.0%) em 45% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 é resolvido?
- Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 deverá ser resolvido em 30 de junho de 2027.
- Como Will AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: AI investment is currently the primary driver of market dynamics.