Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 80.3%
Previsores
144
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado13/12/25, 15:14 UTC12/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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PolymarketSeptember Inflation US - Annual
PolymarketRegras
This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).
- The resolution will be based on the 12-month headline CPI inflation rate published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm.
- Goes by the headline figure, typically rounded to 1 decimal.
- I will use most suitable replacement if BLS stops publishing this statistic or if it is widely treated as unreliable measure of inflation.
- I will bet in this market.
- If we hit ambiguity around reliability will agree with a group of representative YES and NO holders.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- € 61,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,8 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 187,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,1 mil
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+0.5pt25.2%
- 3.5%+2.5pt19.8%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%98%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 mais resultados
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 12 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).