Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 79.8%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado29/07/26, 19:42 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Yerevan exist before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketWill more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Manifold MarketsIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if at least one commercial non-stop passenger flight departs from an airport in the United Kingdom and successfully lands (wheels down) at an airport in the Syrian Arab Republic before January 1, 2027 (specifically, on or before December 31, 2026, at 23:59 UTC).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Definitions & Rules
- “Non-stop Flight”: The flight must depart from an airport in the UK and land at an airport in Syria with no scheduled or unscheduled intermediate stops.
- “Passenger Flight”: The flight must be a commercial scheduled or charter passenger flight open to the general public or bookable through standard passenger channels.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 581,3 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 55,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 96,8 mil
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? é resolvido?
- Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria