Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffEuropePolítica5mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 77%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado30/03/26, 18:33 UTC28/02/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X
- This market has reduced criteria compared to Merz's statement:
- 33% (instead of 80%) over 3 years and a reduced time frame for faster market resolution.
- Two months are added since official numbers might come out later than 1.Jan 2027
- 900_000 / 3 / 3 years = 100_000 yr⁻¹
- Resolution criteria
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 77% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? é resolvido?
- Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X