Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Oriente MédioOne-OffEuropaPolítica4mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 86.9%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
30/03/26, 18:33 UTC28/02/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Israel military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Syria by which date?
PolymarketHouthis target Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Syria diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X
- This market has reduced criteria compared to Merz's statement:
- 33% (instead of 80%) over 3 years and a reduced time frame for faster market resolution.
- Two months are added since official numbers might come out later than 1.Jan 2027
- 900_000 / 3 / 3 years = 100_000 yr⁻¹
- Resolution criteria