Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030
GeopolíticaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 72%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado11/05/23, 16:59 UTC31/12/29, 20:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
100 military deaths in a conflict between Israel and Turkey before 2030?
Manifold MarketsGreece x Turkey military engagement by which date?
PolymarketWill Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Manifold MarketsUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve yes if it is reported (in a reputable fashion) by Wikipedia that 10 or more peeople are injured/killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece after the start date of this market.
- I will likely refer to this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aegean_dispute, however any Wikipedia page counts (I'm more or less intending to use it as a news aggregator in this case).
- If multiple reputable sources for >10 people being injured/killed are posted in the comments, I am likely to count that as well.
- I will verify the source shown on Wikipedia, and will not resolve this market to yes if it seems like the source is false.
- If the reputability of the source becomes a contentious point, I will attempt to compensate an (uninvested) Admin to resolve this market.
- I will not bet in this market.
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 470,8 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 35,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 100,1 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 mais resultados
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030 é resolvido?
- Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve yes if it is reported (in a reputable fashion) by Wikipedia that 10 or more peeople are injured/killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece after the start date of this market.