US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
3.5 pts (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsGeopolítica3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 34%+3.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
42 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
192,7 €
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
1
Variação 7d
-5.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
11/07/26, 18:54 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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On December 14, 2020, the United States imposed CAATSA sanctions on Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) in response to Turkey’s acquisition of the Russian S-400 air defense system (see: https://2017-2021.state.gov/the-united-states-sanctions-turkey-under-caatsa-231/).
- On July 7, 2026 U.S. President Donald Trump indicated his intent to lift sanctions off Turkey(see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-says-will-lift-turkey-sanctions-decide-selling-f-35s-2026-07-07/)
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, termination, revocation, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting CAATSA sanctions on Turkey, Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB), or covered Turkish officials by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify.
- However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, terminate, or suspend US penalties imposed on Turkey, SSB, or covered Turkish officials under CAATSA Section 231, in whole or in part.