What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?
One-OffCiênciaSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Born in 2030 21.9%Líder entre 9 opções
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24
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado2/01/24, 16:47 UTC1/01/00, 22:59 UTC
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Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.
- They don't have to be basic unmodified humans, but there should be a wide agreement that yeah, that person is still alive in some form.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- A Manifold Markets cota Born in 2030 em 22% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? é resolvido?
- What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 3000.
- Como What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.