Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 96.4%
Previsores
7
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
18/06/26, 23:03 UTC19/06/40, 23:02 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Oliver Tree cause of death
Manifold MarketsWill I still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
Manifold MarketsKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiRegras
Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Oliver Tree is still alive at market close (2040-06-19), this market will resolve No automatically.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Steam: Weekly Top Seller
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Oliver Tree is still alive?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 96% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Oliver Tree is still alive é resolvido?
- Oliver Tree is still alive deverá ser resolvido em 19 de junho de 2040.
- Como Oliver Tree is still alive é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Update 2026-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Oliver Tree is still alive at market close (2040-06-19), this market will resolve No automatically.