Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 18 de jun. de 2026, 23:24 UTC · política pm-quality-2
Previsão da comunidade atualMay 31 0%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 23 dias
Desatualizado20/05/26, 19:0331/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
June 302%
Comparar plataformas· December 31
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral93% de correspondência · auto | Média | 12% | — | 15,9 mil € | 183,4 mil € | há 4 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 12% | — | — | — | há 23 dias |
Também disponível em Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
1.0%5m
+1.0%12%
+1.5%7%
+0.1%1%
+4 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total24,9 M €
Volume 24h15,9 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere.
- Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
- Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.