Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado
Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 84.6%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado
25/05/26, 1:531/01/27, 5:00
Tendências
Resultado24hProbabilidade
Regras
Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
Resolution criteria from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026?
A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 30 de agosto de 2026.
Quando Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 é resolvido?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
Como Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 é liquidado?
A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves according to https://polymarket.com/event/iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by
Onde mais Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by end of 2026 está listado?
A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.