Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.5%
Previsores
21
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado29/12/25, 23:10 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran enriches uranium to 90% purity (weapons-grade) or higher at any point during 2026, as verified by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) or credible intelligence assessments.
- Resolution will be based on reports from the IAEA (https://www.iaea.org/), official statements from the U.S. State Department or intelligence community, or peer-reviewed analysis from established nuclear research institutions such as the Institute for Science and International Security (https://isis-online.org/).
- The market resolves NO if Iran does not achieve weapons-grade enrichment during 2026, regardless of whether it increases enrichment levels below 90%.
- As of June 2025, Iran possessed 441 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%, which is just below weapons-grade.
- Weapons-grade uranium is enriched to 90%.
Mercados abertos
Commodities
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 395,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 395,6 mil
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 198,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 198,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 78,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 78,5 mil
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
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- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria