Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 52.2%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 horas
Desatualizado10/10/25, 23:27 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII30 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII30.
