OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
InflationIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate6aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 75%
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Atualizado há 13 minutos
14/03/26, 08:36 UTC31/12/32, 23:59 UTC
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OpenAI fails financially before Dec 31 2032.
- Settlement criteria: if one or more of the following happens before the deadline, the claim resolves to YES.
- (1) Acquisition for severe discount.
- OpenAI is purchased by another firm for a valuation that is less than half of its 2025 valuation (US$500 billion 2025 dollars.) (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/openai-share-sale-500-billion-valuation.html) Purchase price will be inflation adjusted to compare with the 2025 valuation.
- (2) OpenAI cannot pay its bills and fails to provide services.
- OpenAI becomes like pets.com in the early 2000s.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 548,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 mais resultados
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 75% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) é resolvido?
- OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2032.
- Como OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: OpenAI fails financially before Dec 31 2032.