Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
InflaçãoOne-OffEventos corporativosNegócios e empresasTecnologiaIA4aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 20:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 56.8%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado2/02/24, 14:06 UTC2/01/31, 04:59 UTC
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To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+.
- For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.
- EDIT - 2025/08/28
- The $1bn amount will be adjusted for inflation using CPI index for year end 2023 as the base year.
- My discretion will be used to adjudicate how contractor use applies to the “one person” criteria.
- I will not bet in this market.
