Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual6 - 100 69%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
39
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado23/02/26, 18:37 UTC31/12/26, 18:25 UTC
Tendências
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
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KalshiRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the total number of American citizens and military personnel killed by Iran by the end of 2026 conditional on a US military (kinetic) strike on Iranian territory.
- The count includes deaths from Iranian military, IRGC and any units mentioned here.
- Deaths from indirect consequences (e.g., economic disruption) do not count.
- Deaths by terror attacks count only if Iran takes full responsibility.
- If no US strike on Iran occurs by the end of 2026, the market resolves N/A. Resolution will be based on reliable sources as defined by Wikipedia.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If the US strikes Iran, how many Americans will Iran kill??
- A Manifold Markets cota 6 - 100 em 69% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If the US strikes Iran, how many Americans will Iran kill? é resolvido?
- If the US strikes Iran, how many Americans will Iran kill? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como If the US strikes Iran, how many Americans will Iran kill? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria