Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual>3 months 81.3%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+4.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado22/06/25, 18:14 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran, how many Americans will Iran kill?
Manifold MarketsNew nuclear weapon tests in 2026?
FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegras
On June 21, 2025, the United States completed air strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran: Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan.
- While the US claims the sites were completely destroyed, Iran claims impact was minimal.
- This question asks: how many more months away from a nuclear weapon is the Islamic Republic?
- This question will resolve using estimates produced by international governing bodies, such as the IAEA.
- These estimates may not be available soon, and the question will extend until a firm estimate is produced by an international agency.