IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
Middle EastGeopolíticaOne-Off4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 56.5%
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10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado29/12/23, 02:37 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030? é resolvido?
- IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.