If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
One-OffGeopolíticaChinaUS PoliticsPolíticaManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 57.1%
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado3/08/23, 15:30 UTC31/12/99, 22:59 UTC
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This question will remain open perpetually until its resolution unless China, Taiwan or the US stop existing.
- This question will resolve after the conflict between China and Taiwan ends.
- If there is still fighting on the island after multiple years and the US intervenes much later in the war, this still resolves YES.
- Direct intervention requires US forces engaging Chinese ones, this can include and is not limited to: Engaging Chinese naval assets, deploying boots on the ground in Taiwan, missile strikes on Chinese military bases, etc. Update 2026-04-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If China gains control of Taiwan through political (non-military) means, the market resolves N/A.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly? é resolvido?
- If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2099.
- Como If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question will remain open perpetually until its resolution unless China, Taiwan or the US stop existing.