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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold Markets

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

FedInflation6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75) 37.9%
Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores

23

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado anteontem

Desatualizado
1/11/25, 8:1531/12/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)38%

Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year.
  • Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2.
  • If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts.
  • Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements.
  • Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$60,120.13-1.42%EthereumETH$1,577.57-2.68%SolanaSOL$67.53-0.82%

Mercados Relacionados

Manifold Markets

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

88 €
Sim: 15.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

44 €
0 (0 bps): 82.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

997,2 mil €
No change: 80%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

165,2 mil €
0 (0: 80%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

30,1 mil €
October Meeting: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

3,1 mil €
Fed maintains rate: 82%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BNBBNB$561.90-0.49%DogecoinDOGE$0.0749-1.45%XRPXRP$1.05-2.66%

Notícias Relacionadas

Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%Blockchain.NewsHot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.NewsInflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsBofA flags 2026 hikes; Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 73.5%Blockchain.NewsWarsh flags easy financing as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 78.5%Blockchain.NewsWarsh drops forward guidance as Polymarket pegs 2026 zero cuts at 79.85%Blockchain.News

Regras

Resolution criteria

Manifold Markets
  • The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year.
  • Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2.
  • If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts.
  • Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements.
  • Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.