Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
EconomiaOne-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 85.7%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado20/12/23, 23:20 UTC2/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Given the Democratic candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsWill US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?
Manifold MarketsDid Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-Republican candidate next win the presidency of the US?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRegras
Resolves N/A if the Republican doesn't win.
- Real median household income is $74,580 as of 2022.
- Resolves based on census.gov.
- This question is basically asking for the probability of stagnation or recession for the median American given the Republican wins.
- See also this question for if the Democrat wins.
- https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-279.html#:~:text=Real%20median%20household%20income%20was,and%20Table%20A%2D1).
