Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
EconomiaOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 85.7%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado20/12/23, 23:20 UTC2/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?
Manifold MarketsDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsWho going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiFrance’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRegras
Resolves N/A if the Republican doesn't win.
- Real median household income is $74,580 as of 2022.
- Resolves based on census.gov.
- This question is basically asking for the probability of stagnation or recession for the median American given the Republican wins.
- See also this question for if the Democrat wins.
- https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-279.html#:~:text=Real%20median%20household%20income%20was,and%20Table%20A%2D1).
