Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 57.3%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado17/04/26, 23:37 UTC20/01/29, 11:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
Manifold MarketsDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegras
Resolves according to the Real Median Household Adjusted Income After Taxes and Transfers Section of the Distribution of Household Income in 2024 report by The Congressional Budget Office.
- Here's the 2022 report.
- See the supplemental data excel sheet for the statistic.
- It fell 7.2% during the first 2 years according to the CBO, but rose during the last 2 years according to the sources I'm aware of that have published for those years.
- Our World in Data found it decreased 2.8% during the Biden administration, but that's a small enough decrease that differences in methodology could outweigh it.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 57% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration? é resolvido?
- Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves according to the Real Median Household Adjusted Income After Taxes and Transfers Section of the Distribution of Household Income in 2024 report by The Congressional Budget Office.