Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 92.9%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado25/11/22, 02:05 UTC31/12/29, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.
- Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm
Mercados abertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-33.9pt55%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 227,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 95,3 mil
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.4pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 109,1 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8 mil
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 é resolvido?
- Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.