By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
24.2 pts (24h)One-OffCiência10aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2029 99%+29.6ptLíder entre 16 opções
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 4 minutos
22/03/25, 11:49 UTC31/12/36, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegras
When the next (2nd) millennium prize problem is solved, that year and all future years will resolve yes.
- The publication date of the solution (without significant gaps) will be used (UTC).
- To count, a large majority of the mathematical community has to view it as a valid solution.
- (This is almost certainly equivalent to the Clay institute offering to award the prize.)
- A particular year will resolve no if at least one month into the next year no serious solution has been posted.
- A solution proposed by anyone not affiliated to a research institute is not considered serious unless a professional mathematician has highlighted it as such.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2029 em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved? é resolvido?
- By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2036.
- Como By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: When the next (2nd) millennium prize problem is solved, that year and all future years will resolve yes.