Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
InflationPolíticaDailyEleiçãoLatin AmericaCommodities1mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 86.2%
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado4/03/26, 16:59 UTC25/10/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if the value labeled “Preço Médio do Brasil” on Petrobras’ gasoline page is ≥ R$ 6.50 per liter at 23:59 (Brasília time) on Oct 25, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Source: Petrobras price portal - Preço Médio do Brasil: https://precos.petrobras.com.br/sele%C3%A7%C3%A3o-de-estados-gasolina
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 323,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 523 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 22 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume total
- € 22,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)? é resolvido?
- Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Brazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the value labeled “Preço Médio do Brasil” on Petrobras’ gasoline page is ≥ R$ 6.50 per liter at 23:59 (Brasília time) on Oct 25, 2026.