Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 92.7%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 45 minutos
Atrasado2/09/24, 20:54 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
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As indicated by the Organization of American States.
- Resolves YES if the OAS finds the election is generally free and fair.
- Resolves NO if the OAS finds the election to be not free or not fair.
- If OAS does not comment, I will use my judgement to resolve the market based on another observer, likely considering this list of high-quality election monitoring organizations.
- I'll wait up to two years from the date of the election to get time for comment from OAS.
- If the OAS issues a preliminary report with a clear finding, that will be sufficient to resolve the question.