Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoAmérica Latina2d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 03:11 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 71%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
29/01/26, 15:47 UTC27/10/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- The Brazilian presidential election will be held on October 4, 2026, with a potential runoff on October 25, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if the United States government issues an official congratulatory statement or message to Brazil's election winner within 24 hours of the winner being determined (either after the first round on October 4 or after a potential runoff on October 25).
- Resolution should be based on official statements from the U.S. State Department, White House, or the sitting U.S. President.
- The statement must explicitly congratulate the winner on their electoral victory.
- Considerations
