Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2026 96%+52.8ptLíder entre 6 opções
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+52.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
7/01/25, 16:482/01/35, 4:59
Tendências
0.5%
0.2%
Regras
We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.
- The questions cover most major branches of modern mathematics -- from computationally intensive problems in number theory and real analysis to abstract questions in algebraic geometry and category theory.
- Solving a typical problem requires multiple hours of effort from a researcher in the relevant branch of mathematics, and for the upper end questions, multiple days.
- FrontierMath uses new, unpublished problems and automated verification to reliably evaluate models while minimizing risk of data contamination.
- Current state-of-the-art AI models solve under 2% of problems, revealing a vast gap between AI capabilities and the prowess of the mathematical community.
- As AI systems advance toward expert-level mathematical abilities, FrontierMath offers a rigorous testbed that quantifies their progress.
Mercados abertos
AI
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2026 em 96% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? é resolvido?
- In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2035.
- Como In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.