Manifold Markets
Mercado de previsão de dinheiro fictício onde qualquer pessoa pode criar e negociar mercados usando mana, uma moeda virtual que nunca pode ser convertida em dinheiro real. Não é necessária verificação de identidade para participar.
Visitar Manifold MarketsDisponibilidade
Fonte de previsão ou dinheiro fictício; a elegibilidade para negociação não se aplica.
KYC / Identidade
Não é necessária verificação de identidade
Metodologia e acesso
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Liquida em
Mana (play money)
Tipo de mercado
Limit orders + AMM (CPMM)
Estatísticas ao vivo
Mercados abertos34 476
Mercados totais49 957
Participantes965 487
Média de previsores/pergunta19.8
Média de resultados/mercado4.0
Taxa de resolução31%
Última atualização21/10/2026, 4:49
Categorias Principais
1. One-Off31349 Mercados abertos
2. Política6268 Mercados abertos
3. US Politics5376 Mercados abertos
4. IA5312 Mercados abertos
5. Tecnologia5022 Mercados abertos
Histórico de resoluções
12,186 mercados resolvidos · desde 2022 · 100% com data e hora do provedor
Explorar no CoinRithm
Leituras relacionadas
Mercados abertos
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
- 10 traders in 10 days (April 26)100%
- 20 traders in 20 days (May 6)100%
- 30 traders in 125 days (August 19)100%
+16 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 12,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,1 mil
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
- 1M-10M-2.6pt22.7%
- <10K (includes negative numbers)19.7%
- 10M-100M-14.0pt18.9%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 113,9
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
- 2028-2.3pt11.1%
- 2027-3.1pt10.2%
- 2026-0.7pt10%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 48,1
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETS(Week 4) NHL 2026-27 Mega-Market: All Games 🏒
- Sharks beat Canadiens (10/20)100%
- Kings beat Capitals (10/20)100%
- Maple Leafs beat Blue Jackets (10/20)100%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,8 mil
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will I reach 100 pounds?
- Before Aug 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before May 2027+48.0pt98%
- Before Feb 2027+11.7pt90.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 771,7
- Volume 24h
- € 364,6
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
- Arthur100%
- Bertha100%
- Cristobal100%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 93,9
MANIFOLD MARKETSAs of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
- Ardian32.8%
- Apollo-1.7pt6.5%
- Lexington-1.1pt2.5%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,3
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGas Price on October 26
- 4.1999 or more?-42.0pt48%
- 4.2199 or more?-57.0pt23%
- 4.2399 or more?-46.0pt12%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mil
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich results will happen during Week 8 of the College Football Season?
- Delaware defeats Missouri State+40.9pt99.9%
- Miami (FL) defeats Pittsburgh92%
- UConn defeats UMass85%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,4 mil
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat percent of people will be micro-chipped by 2040?
- 0%14.7%
- 100%-3.9pt13.4%
- 1%7.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,1
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be elected President of France in the 2027 presidential election?
- Marine Le Pen-34.7pt48.4%
- Édouard Philippe+10.1pt18.1%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+7.8pt10.2%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 676,4
- Volume 24h
- € 194,1
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will an AI Model first score >= 170 on the Epoch Capabilities Index?
- October 2026+33.1pt59.6%
- November 2026-19.2pt19.4%
- December 2026-11.1pt7.2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 561,9
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