Who will win the California State Assembly 12th District Seat?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição13d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualEric Lucan 61%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado15/06/26, 16:58 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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the named outcome and the named outcome were the two leading candidates in the California Primaries that took place in early June.
- At this stage, it is a near certainty that both candidates will move on to the run-off election on November 3, 2026.
- To cover the unlikely possibility that one of the two candidates is not certified to move on to the run-off election, this market offers a third choice "Other."
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially certified as the winner of the November 3, 2026 general election for the California State Assembly District 12 seat.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the California Secretary of State.
