Manifold Markets Markets Resolved in 2026

Manifold Markets prediction markets that settled during 2026, most recent first, with the winning outcome for each.

9.482 markets resolved

• Video of Chinese politician actually riding in a car in China with Tesla FSD, by mid 2026

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 21 de ago. de 2026

• Bitcoin price reaches 70k USD before EOY

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 21 de ago. de 2026

• When will the first episode of Jack Reacher season 4 be available to watch on Amazon Prime?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: August 2026 · Resolved 21 de ago. de 2026

• Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 21 de ago. de 2026

• Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will microplastics become an easter egg/feature in any video game (eg a sims clone) by EOY2029?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• When will Amy appear as an athlete on a regular season of Jet Lag?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Season 18 · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will the next big Minecraft update be the ancient city portal dimension update?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will China successfully propulsively land a rocket first stage before 2027?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will the General Assembly be reset in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Which race will Satono Reve run in, the Nunthorpe Stakes or the City of York Stakes?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Satono Reve will run in the City of York Stakes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• When will the next QoL only update come to Gran Turismo 7?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: July-August 2026 · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Who Will Win OWCS 2026 - NA Stage 2

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Dallas Fuel · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• BTC first hits?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: $66,000 · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Manifold Markets created: I'm currently #104. Will I rank #96 in markets I've created by August 26, 2026? (8/26/26)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will any the weights for any new Qwen Model >=100B parameters release before 2027

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will OpenAI display ads to free tier users within one year?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• What will Fantano rate Phoebe Bridgers "Lost Weekend"?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 9 · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• What Will be the result between New England Revolution @ D.C United

  Manifold Markets · Winner: New England win · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Has my ex blocked me?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 20 de ago. de 2026

• Will James Fishback win the Florida Republican Primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Who will win the 2026 Sinquefield Cup chess tournament (GCT 5th event)?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Wesley So · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• In a month, will Gemini 2.5 Pro in AI village fall into delusions again?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Bitcoin be higher 14 days from now?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Who will win the 2026 Cairns Cup chess tournament?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Tan Zhongyi · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• US/Israel strike on Iran by end of 2030?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will something happen in AI the week of Aug 21, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Stripe acquire OpenRouter by EOY?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Stripe buy OpenRouter before October?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will I bother calling the suicide hotline this time?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• What disciplinary action will I face for my last market?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Nothing · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will something happen in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Elon Musk reach 243 M+ followers on X before 20th August?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Daily Coinflip

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Matt The Welder (Matt Taylor) win the Republican primary for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will the Dan Sullivan ‘impostor’ advance to the general election in the Alaska senate primary on August 18 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Eric Barlow be the GOP Nominee for Governor of Wyoming in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Jared Moskowitz get 65.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 25 Democratic house primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will James Fishback get second in the Florida Republican primary for governor?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Byron Donalds get 50.000% or more of the vote in the Florida Republican Primary for Governor?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Harriet Hageman be the GOP Nominee for Senate for Wyoming?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will James Fishback get more than 9% of the vote in the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial GOP Primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Quién ganará la 2da fase del selectivo

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Salazar Flores, Yerick Alexander · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the Seattle Mariners beat the Milwaukee Brewers on August 18, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Humanoid robot walking around me within a year?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will trump taco on Canadian tariffs today?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Humanoid robot walking around me within three years?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will "The Brink Of War" earn more than $20M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz get 50.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 20 Democratic house primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• When will the European Union (EU) "entry-exit system" (EES) launch?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Q2 2026 · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Will Cory Mills be renominated for Florida's 7th Congressional District?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Who will Ron Desantis endorse in the 2026 Republican primary for Florida governor?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No endorsement made · Resolved 19 de ago. de 2026

• Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for Governor of Florida?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Byron Donalds · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 25th Democratic primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz get 60.00% or more of the vote in the Florida 20 Democratic house primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Floridas US House District 20th Democratic Primary Winner

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Debbie Wasserman Schultz · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Elijah manley wins 2026 Florida 20th district house Democratic primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Who will win the Republican Primary for Florida´s 19th Congressional District?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Jim Schwartzel · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" earn more than $23M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening we

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will the DJIA go below 51,500 by August 18 (8/18/26)?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• In what year will the Mojo programming language implementation be Open Source?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 2026 · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Who will be the next CEO of ULA?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Mark Peller (current COO) · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• More than 2000 suspected deaths due to the Ebola outbreak by the end of 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will my son pass All of his exams?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will I get a higher grade than קרני at חדוא 2

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will the Chicago White Sox defeat the Chicago Cubs during their game on August 17, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will I reach 300 Questions by August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)? (This is my 151st.)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will I buy gasoline for more than $5/gallon this year (USA)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta (Aug 17, 2026)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Draw · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026

  Manifold Markets · Winner: More than 50 · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will Lynas LAMP NdPr oxide production exceed 3500 tonnes NdPr oxide on June 30, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• Will Trump announce or order a new U.S. military strike against Iran before August 18th, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 18 de ago. de 2026

• The maximum temperature in Davis, CA wil reach 99.0°F on at least two individual calendar days from July 23 to August 2.

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the Los Angeles Dodgers sweep the Milwaukee Brewers OR will the 4-game series total 31 or more runs?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will there be 3 or more total goals scored in regular time in the 2026 FA Community Shield?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the Atlanta Braves sweep the Arizona Diamondbacks OR will the 3-game series total 29 or more runs?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the San Diego Padres sweep the Cleveland Guardians OR will the 3-game series total 26 or more runs?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the Boston Red Sox sweep the Pittsburgh Pirates OR will the 3-game series total 25 or more runs?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the Chicago Cubs sweep the St. Louis Cardinals OR will the 3-game series total 26 or more runs?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• 2026 Formula E World Champion

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Pascal Vehrlein · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will this market finish with at least 20 unique traders? (Market closes at 1200 EDT, August 17, 2026)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will Stripe acquire Openrouter in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will my transfer of major get accepted?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Who will win the women’s 800m at the 2026 European Athletics Championships?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Audrey Werro · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Which will be the first Chinese orbital-class reusable rocket stage to land vertically?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Other · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will the U.S. send troops to Sudan by 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will Gustavo Petro be ousted or resign before his term ends?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will there be a mass influx of people to Melilla on the 15th?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) win the 2026 Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Next Scotland national football team manager

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Other · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Which team will win the 2026 FA Community Shield?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Arsenal · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• Will Nathan (NotARoomba) say 67 before 8th Jun

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 17 de ago. de 2026

• MLB: Will the New York Yankees sweep the Toronto Blue Jays OR will the 3-game series total 27 or more runs?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Who will win ESS Scrimmage 3?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 6.4 RB · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Who wins the Men's HUNDRED championship?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Manchester Super Giants · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses over $2B?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• What level will the next Goldeneye 007 untied be achieved on?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Train Agent · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will I publish a LessWrong post on the Doomsday Argument this week?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will at least 1,000 people irregularly enter Ceuta from Morocco on 15 August 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• What will the result of Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry be at UFC 330

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Islam Makhachev wins · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Who wins the Women's HUNDRED championship?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Trent Rockets · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will my buddy Zach respond to our group chat about soccer today by 1030AM?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will Max Miller drop out of his congressional race before the deadline?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro be registered as a candidate for any office?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the best bot in Silicon League ever beat the best trader in Master's League by EOY 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Daily Coinflip

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the US fall in the Freedom Index in 2024?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the NFL ban the Tush Push before next season?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the DJIA go below 51,000 by August 13 (8/13/26)?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will my this market post cross 5Ok Mana mark? (THIS ONE)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will any Spanish politicians look at the eclipse without glasses outside the total eclipse phase?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Australia vs Bangladesh First Test Megamarket

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Green 100 · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the federal funds rate fall below 2.5% by the end of July 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will Islam Makhachev beat Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will I get paid willingly from the next legally-enforced bet I make with a person I don't know?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the Philadelphia Eagles beat the Baltimore Ravens in their preseason matchup on August 15

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the Dallas Cowboys beat the Seattle Seahawks in their preseason game on August 15?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will OpenAI release a Mythos-class model before Fable is reenabled?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Will the United States GDP cross $30 trillion before 2030?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Who wins the 2026 WLL championship?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Maryland Charm · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• What will be the Total Domestic Gross of 'Project Hail Mary' (2026)?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: $300M – $349.9M (Likely outcome as of 3/21, if it matches The Martian) · Resolved 16 de ago. de 2026

• Average IMDB rating for House of the Dragon Season 3 ≥ Season 2?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will any of OpenAI, Anthropic, or Databricks go public with a market cap over $200B by August 15, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will something happen this week in AI (by 5pm EST August 14)?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will a new prize drawing be opened before end of August?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Gemini 3.7 Flash be released by the end of August 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 25.00% or more · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count Binface get between 25.00 and 40.00% of the vote in the clacton by election

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will a new prize drawing be opened before end of August?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will I win any prize in the next prize drawing (Drawing #30)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• S&P 500 closes above $7,800 on August 14?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will DeepSeek V4 Pro GA be better than GPT-5.6 Sol?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Trump tariff European countries over Greenland?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Mohamed Salah score a goal in his debut match for Trabzonspor against Kasımpaşa on August 15, 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• 2026 Esports World Cup - Chess winner?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Magnus Carlsen · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in August?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No change · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will I eat a banana today?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will I be alive in 2 years time?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• What will be the next major event for Wiz?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Purchase by another company · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Jose Vega debate Ritchie Torres?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will a posthumous deathbed UFO confession from Jimmy Carter be revealed within a year of his passing?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• When Elon Musk's SPCX stock will start rising again?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: It will fall below its $135 IPO price · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Which player will score the winning goal in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? [ADD ANSWERS]

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Ferran Torres · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from 3:45 PM EDT 8/5/2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Es-ce que Anthony va devenir intelligent un jour ?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will an AI company be valued at $1 trillion+ before January 1, 2027?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• In my opinion, will Keir Starmer have shown active support for Wes Streeting in next Labour Party leadership contest?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will I do chores for 25 minutes daily in 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will I do chores for 15 minutes daily until October?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Starmer Out as UK Prime Minister before 2028?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will an Israeli participate in IOI 2026

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Will Israel participate in IOI 2026 (on site)

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Keir Starmer Gone before Donald Trump?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• Keir Starmer, Benjamin Netanyahu, who’s out first?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Keir starmer · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• S&P 500 closes above $7,800 at end of week?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 15 de ago. de 2026

• When will I pay off my student loan?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: May-August 2026 · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• A National Mp publicly says Chris Luxon should go before end of Friday?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Do you like 26% odds?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will Russel Westbrook Reach 210 Triple-Doubles Before Retirement?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Daily Coinflip

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will William Trachman be confirmed by the Senate as Ambassador to Tanzania by end of August 2026?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• What will be the most streamed album on Spotify this week?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 'Petal' (Ariana Grande) · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Who will be the most streamed artist on Spotify this week?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Bad Bunny · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• What will be the most streamed song on Spotify this week?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 'Dai Dai' (Shakira, Burna Boy) · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count Binface get under or over 35% of the vote in the Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 34.99*% or less · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will there be codex reset on August 13,2026

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• What % of the vote will Nigel Farage win in the 2026 Clacton by election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: 60.00% to 69.999% · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will Count Binface earn back his deposit (get >=5% of the vote) in the Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Yes · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: [20,35) · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: No · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Which party will come second-place in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Count Binface · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• What will the top two parties be in the 2026 Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: Reform, Count Binface · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026

• Who will come third place in the Clacton by-election?

  Manifold Markets · Winner: John Stevens (Rejoin EU) · Resolved 14 de ago. de 2026