Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 99%
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9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado6/01/26, 00:52 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida general election for Governor in 2026?
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Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Byron Donalds will be the GOP nominee for governor of Florida" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? é resolvido?
- Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Byron Donalds is GOP nominee for Florida governor? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.