Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 89.7%
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado4/07/25, 17:26 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
Any Trump statement/tweet/truth/etc claiming election fraud/theft/rigging as the results of the midterms come out.
- Only statements by Trump himself will be considered, not members of his admin.
- I will bet on this market.
- Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A statement that only expresses suspicion, such as "very suspicious", without explicitly claiming fraud, theft, or rigging, will not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 193,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 710,8 mil
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 584,6 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume total
- € 29,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 407,5 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 14,9 mi
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
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- Volume total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 90% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? é resolvido?
- Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Any Trump statement/tweet/truth/etc claiming election fraud/theft/rigging as the results of the midterms come out.