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  3. Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Manifold Markets

Saxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?

PolíticaOne-OffEuropeEleição12m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSem KYC
Previsão da comunidade atual
Manifold Markets
Below - 1 10.8%
Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores

2

Tipo de pergunta

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 horas

Desatualizado
18/06/26, 12:5718/06/27, 21:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Below - 111%

Regras

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.

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Regras

n = number of seats AfD wins in the 6 September 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election.

Manifold Markets
  • V = highest valid votes cast for Ulrich Siegmund in any single Minister-President ballot where he's a candidate, across the first government-formation process after that election.
  • Resolves to V − n
  • Abstentions, invalid ballots, and votes for other candidates don't count toward V.
  • Resolves N/A if Siegmund is never a candidate in any Minister-President ballot before a new government is formed.