Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNov-Dec 2026 53.4%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-7.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado2/01/26, 22:51 UTC1/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will the tesla share price first exceed $500?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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PolymarketSTRC hits $100 by…
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES when Tesla's stock price (TSLA) closes at or above $500 on any trading day.
- Resolution will be verified using official closing prices from NASDAQ or Yahoo Finance.
- The market resolves NO if the stock never reaches $500 by the specified end date.
- Tesla's stock closed at $449.78 on December 31, 2025, requiring approximately an 11% gain to reach $500.
- The stock reached an intraday high of $498.83 on December 22, 2025, coming within 0.2% of the target.
Mercados abertos
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 104,6 mil
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 79,6 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 185,8 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 mais resultados
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Tesla share price reach $500??
- A Manifold Markets cota Nov-Dec 2026 em 53% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Tesla share price reach $500? é resolvido?
- When will Tesla share price reach $500? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will Tesla share price reach $500? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria