KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atual7,800 to 7,999.99 12%-1.0%Líder entre 27 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
9,3 mil €
Liquidez
3,2 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
12.0% / 13.0%
Spread
8.3%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
23/12/25, 15:0031/12/26, 21:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
7,800 to 7,999.9912%
Comparar plataformas· 7,800 to 7,999.99
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 12% | — | 9,3 mil € | 3,2 M € | há 19 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets83% de correspondência · verificado | — | 97% | — | — | — | há 3 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026
5m
97%
+0.5%93.5%
92%
+16 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade16 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.0k98.0%KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — Nohá 6 dias
KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — Nohá 6 diasTendência de volume
$10.6k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
21,3 mil €1T: 99%
POLYMARKET
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How high will the S&P get this year?
6,5 mil €7,800 or above: 57%KALSHI
KALSHI
How low will the S&P get this year?
3,2 mil €5,900 or below: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
2,3 mil €33,000.01 or above: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
2,2 mil €↑$170B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
1,8 mil €$2B: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
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If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.