By the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
72.3 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffClima
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Other 27.7%-72.3ptLíder entre 10 opções
Other 27.7%-72.3ptPrevisores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-72.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado3/03/23, 00:53 UTC2/01/51, 00:53 UTC
Tendências
Regras
I will only resolve YES answers created by order of magnitude (edit: OR <10K, which includes negative numbers)
- EG: 10K-100K, 100K-1M, 1M-10M, 10M-100M, etc. Please do not add answers that deviate from this format.
- I will not count effects that route through social effects of climate change.
- EG I will not count "climate-change related mass immigration increases social instability which is partially responsible for a war in which people die".
- I will count effects like "climate change caused high temperatures in a region which caused people to be more likely to die from sickness."
