KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 95%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,2 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
4/05/26, 19:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the European Union
- Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status means any formal EU-approved pre-accession status or arrangement, however described, that allows Ukraine to sit in, attend, observe, or be represented at meetings of EU ministers, EU leaders, or EU institutions without voting rights before Ukraine becomes a full EU Member State.
- Candidate-country status, accession negotiations, EU-law screening, funding access, or Ukraine’s existing EU Association Agreement shall not qualify unless Ukraine receives new non-voting participation or representation rights in EU ministerial, leaders’, or institutional meetings.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
Mercados abertos
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- € 109,1 mil
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- No-4.5pt28%
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- December5%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 95% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the European Union agrees to or announces that Ukraine will receive a Pre-Accession Institutional Participation Status before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.