PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31 34%+1.5ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
17,3 €
Liquidez
1,6 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
2.4 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
9
Variação 7d
-2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado24/02/26, 2:081/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Mercados abertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 20,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 221,8 mil
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
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POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
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- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- € 301,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 44,6 mil
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 mais resultados
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- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 34% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? é resolvido?
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).