KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 10 97%Líder entre 11 opções
Above 10 97%Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
16,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
22,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
2/10/26, 16:30 UTC13/10/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 10
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 15
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 35 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 45
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 45 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 75
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 75 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.