PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualMojtaba Khamenei 68%-2.4%Líder entre 123 opções
Qualidade do mercado
100 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
19,4 mil €
Liquidez
1,3 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
68.3% / 68.4%
Spread
0.1%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-2.2%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/03/26, 0:2831/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Resultado escolhido
Mojtaba Khamenei68%
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Leader of Iran at end of 2026?
6m
65.7%
2.6%
0.2%
+21 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade212 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
Volume total43,2 mil €
Volume 24h142,4 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
- Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
- If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
- Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
- Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.