PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualSim 16%+0.0%
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
528,3 mil €
Liquidez
325,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
+6.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 minutos
2/07/26, 21:4931/08/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes16%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 85% | — | 528,3 mil € | 325,9 mil € | há 18 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets85% de correspondência · auto | — | 94% | — | — | — | há 18 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
1m
93.8%
6.2%
Previsão da comunidade21 previsoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoV1nch0uhá 9 h
POLYMARKETNoV1nch0uhá 9 h$2.1k85.0%POLYMARKETNoMwhalehá 13 h
POLYMARKETNoMwhalehá 13 h$2.5k84.7%POLYMARKETNoasawqhá 14 h
POLYMARKETNoasawqhá 14 h$1.3k89.0%POLYMARKETNoStarMasteranteontem
POLYMARKETNoStarMasteranteontem$1.8k88.0%POLYMARKETNosimtradeshá 3 dias
POLYMARKETNosimtradeshá 3 dias$1.5k85.0%POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetInhá 3 dias
POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetInhá 3 dias$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoback-in-whackhá 5 dias
POLYMARKETNoback-in-whackhá 5 dias$12.0k89.0%POLYMARKETNoskibabibahá 12 dias
POLYMARKETNoskibabibahá 12 diasTendência de volume
$601.0k3 de jul.24d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.