PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
September 30 72.5%+2.5ptAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
22,6 mil €
Liquidez
30 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
11/09/26, 23:26 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiRegras
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
- Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
- Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
Mercados abertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt22%
- October 31-3.0pt17%
- September 30-3.5pt5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 11,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 539,3 mil
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+3.5pt57%
- September 30+2.0pt42%
- September 21+5.0pt36%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- € 56,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 197,5 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt66%
- October 31-0.5pt37%
- September 30+1.0pt22%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.5pt93%
- September 18+5.0pt91%
- September 4+7.0pt88%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.7pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 mais resultados
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date??
- A Polymarket cota September 30 em 73% em 13 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? é resolvido?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.