Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
12.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAOriente Médio30d
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 81.2%+12.0pt
Não 81.2%+12.0ptQualidade do mercado
82 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
123,1 mil €
Liquidez
22,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
14
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 42 minutos
30/09/26, 21:34 UTC1/11/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Não
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KalshiRegras
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain.
- (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli national government, or an authorized representative of the Israeli national government, publicly announces that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused this incident, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public announcement refers to an on-the-record statement issued by the Israeli national government or by its authorized representatives acting in an official capacity on behalf of the Israeli national government.
- A statement or press release issued by the Israeli national government or any of its agencies will qualify.