KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 4 92%+3.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Above 4 92%+3.0ptQualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
23,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
8,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
2/10/26, 17:00 UTC13/10/26, 13:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:IMF PortWatch
- The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Regras de cada resultado
- Above 4
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 8 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 12 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 14
- If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 14 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.