KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualHike >25bps 3%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
232,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 26 minutos
29/09/25, 14:0016/09/26, 17:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Hike >25bps3%
Comparar plataformas· Hike 25bps
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral93% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 54% | — | 36 mil € | 538,3 mil € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Média | 49% | — | 1,6 mil € | 232,7 mil € | há 26 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Fed Decision in September?
1m
54%
41%
-0.1%4%
+2 mais resultados
100 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total3,8 M €
Volume 24h36 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$2.6k41.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthtellerhá 14 h
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthtellerhá 14 h$1.5k97.0%KALSHIHike >25bps — Noontem
KALSHIHike >25bps — Noontem$1.1k53.2%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahanteontem
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahanteontem$2.0k44.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaulhá 5 dias
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaulhá 5 dias$2.1k96.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefunghá 9 dias
POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefunghá 9 dias$3.0k61.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRiskhá 10 dias
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRiskhá 10 dias$1.8k38.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgilhá 11 dias
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgilhá 11 dias$1.1k59.8%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970há 17 dias
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970há 17 diasTendência de volume
$1.8k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
358,3 mil €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
6,4 €Fed maintains rate: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jan 2028?
0 €Cut >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegras
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.