KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Hike 25bps 52.4%+3.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,2 M €
Liquidez
26,4 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
29/09/25, 14:00 UTC16/09/26, 17:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Manifold Markets — Fed decision in September? · 25+ bps increase 50%
- Também disponível em Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Hike 25bps 51%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Hike 25bps 49%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 52%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 52%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 52%
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 543,5 mil
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 44,4 mi
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No89%
- Yes+2.5pt11%
- Volume total
- € 997,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 39,2 mil
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Fed decision in Sep 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Hike 25bps em 52% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Fed decision in Sep 2026? é resolvido?
- Fed decision in Sep 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 16 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Fed decision in Sep 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Fed decision in Sep 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Polymarket, Limitless.