KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 95%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
17 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
2.0% / 5.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
21/04/26, 16:00 UTC10/12/26, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data.
- The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- € 61,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 21,8 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 187,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,1 mil
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+0.5pt25.2%
- 3.5%+2.5pt19.8%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%98%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 mais resultados
- September Inflation China - Annual
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- CPI core in September
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- CPI core in November 2026
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- September Inflation US - Monthly
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 95% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.